Saturday, June 14, 2008

Lack of Procedures: Serious Security Breach

Police are investigating a "serious" security breach after a civil servant lost top-secret documents containing the latest intelligence on al-Qaeda.

The unnamed Cabinet Office employee apparently breached strict security rules when he left the papers on the seat of a train. A fellow passenger spotted the envelope containing the files and gave it to the BBC, who handed them to the police.

The official was later suspended from his job, the Cabinet Office announced.

Just seven pages long but classified as "UK Top Secret", this latest intelligence assessment on al-Qaeda is so sensitive that every document is numbered and marked "for UK/US/Canadian and Australian eyes only", according to our correspondent. According to reports, this document may have contained details of names of individuals or locations which might have been useful to Britain's enemies.

His work reportedly involves writing and contributing to intelligence and security assessments, and that he has the authority to take secret documents out of the Cabinet Office - so long as strict procedures are observed.

Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Options in a Down-turn Economy 1: Acquisitions

In a downturn economy such as what we may be experiencing, company on a higher financial platform often seeks to acquire potential profitable businesses within the next 3-5 years.

Recent cases are as follow:
Information from the Star, 5 May 2008

Apex (Pharmaceutical)

In 1962, Apex started as a retail wholesale pharmacy. Six years later it started pharmaceutical manufacturing

Currently, Apex Healthcare Berhad is strategising to become pharmaceutical and consumer healthcare product-based company which owns the rights and intellectual property of brands.

To achieve this end, the latest corporate exercise undertaken is to invest RM 292,000 in Singapore’s Chastal Marketing, which has the rights to 12 countries for 3 products – lozenges, mints and condoms, that went on sale in Malaysia. Chastal is expected to contribute to Apex’s group earnings from 2009 onwards.


Reasons for Acquisition:

Selling in 6 Countries, Expertise in Mass Market Consumer Marketing, Highly Skilled Team, Help to Increase Sales of Apex’s range of consumer healthcare products.

What are the considerations or information needed to be gathered prior to an Acquisition?

1. Making sense of a purchase: In other words, the purchaser has usefulness for the purchase: a. it can be linked to existing businesses to create better values, higher efficiencies, to complete a product cycle, to reduce total cost or dependencies on suppliers to meet supply needs, or to realise personal ambition or investor’s interest.

2. Calculable rate of returns: Success Transformer Corp Bhd. bought the remaining 40% of Seremban Engineering Sdn. Bhd. (SESB) to make the latter company wholly owned. It is estimated that the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E ratio) was 7.3 times this year. SESB is currently performing much better than internal division and look set to earn a net profit of RM 7.5 million this year.

For example, if a company is currently trading at $40 a share and earnings over the last 12 months were $2 per share, the P/E ratio for the stock would be 20 ($40/$2). (http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asp)

3. Established brand: Pelikan International Corp Bhd. was in discussion to buy up 80% of Pelikan Colombia Indistri S.A. Buying back to redistribute the same brand managed in various countries where its previous owner was financially strained.

Acquisitions work well if there is a game plan for its usage. And for other consultative units, acquisitions can also be a smart investment. These expert acquirers will often confidently purchase companies at lower-price; rescue or restructure the businesses and then re-sold at a higher price. Definitely not one for the faint-hearted!

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Loans Application Processes for Small and Medium Enterprises

Small and Medium Enterprises often hard-pressed for working capital.

One of the options often undertaken is to seek some sort of financing from authorised money lending companies such as retail banks or commerce banks. Others seek Venture Capitalist companies.

Here is an information released by the Consumer Education Programme by Bank Negara Malaysia and The Association of Banks in Malaysia (Persatuan Bank Dalam Malaysia).

Irrespective of where the money comes from, normally there are 3 stages that one may encounter:

Stage 1: Preparation of Business Plan
Stage 2: Application Process itself
Stage 3: Assessment of the Loan

We shall focus on

Stage 1: Preparation of Business Plan.

What is a Business Plan?

It is a written plan outlining your vision and how the business is to be managed to achieve its objectives.

A well-written and structured business plan should cover and provide information on the business that the financial institution wants to know.

The business plan should be clear, simple and concise.

What are the Key Areas of the Business Plan?

The key areas of a business plan are:

• Business model, product/services, vision and goals

• Current position of company, in relation to financial, market and competitor (if available)

• Critical success factors for the business

• Financing requirements

• Specific purpose(s) of the loan and in what way the loan can help the business

A good business plan should incorporate the following basic information:

• Introduction to the business

• Organization chart and structure of the organization

• Business objectives and vision

• Description of product and services

• Industry and competitor analysis

• Business strategies

• Operational requirements

• Sales and marketing strategies

• Financial forecast

A Sample Business Plan may include but not limited to:

Introduction

Business Description

A brief description of your business; product type, industry and target market and competitive position as compared to your rivals

Current Position of Company

Date of incorporation and at what stage the company is at now

  • For new businesses:
– How advanced is the business; has key staff been hired, production commenced, sales made etc.?

  • For existing business:
– State the sales and profits of the company for the last three years


Financing Request
  • State the type, amount, purpose, expected loan release date and expected loan repayment period
  • New businesses should identify the sources of start-up capital of the company i.e. from shares/paid-up capital, advances from directors, family, third parties, external
    borrowings etc.

Working Capital Financing

Types and limits
Overdraft, trade facilities (trust receipt, banker’s acceptance)

Purpose
To finance shortfall/gap in working capital (WC) requirement

Computation of RM Value of WC Requirement

Example:
Days
Debtors credit terms 90

Stock turnover 60
150

Less
Creditors credit terms (60)
Asset Conversion Cycle 90

Example:

If the forecasted sales turnover is RM5 million, then the Working Capital Requirement will be 90/365 x RM5.0 million

= RM1.23 million

Capital Expenditure Financing

Types and limits
Term loan, leasing, hire purchase, margin of financing required, source
of borrower's own contribution

Purpose

  • To finance fixed assets acquisitions e.g. purchase of properties, machinery
  • To finance cost of construction for factory/shophouse

Details

Type, brand/make and cost of fixed assets to be acquired and its economic life span
  • Construction cost supported by relevant supporting documents
  • Repayment terms

    • Method
    • Amount (based on cashflow projections/income)
    • Period/tenure
    • Expected date for the first repayment to commence
    Business Objectives and Vision

    You should highlight your vision of what you would like the business to evolve into and achieve in the future

    Description of Product and Services
    • Provide a description on the type of product(s) manufactured/service(s) provided
    • State which part of the supply chain i.e. as a service provider, manufacturer (Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) or a supporting industry), marketing/sales agent, wholesaler, supply contractor, construction etc
    • Volume of sales or production per annum
    • Nature of business cycle; regular or cyclical
    • Nature of products

    Industry and Competitor Analysis

    • Provide a brief overview of the industry's structure and characteristics; the degree of competition and entry barriers
    • List out the company's key competitors, their market share, strengths/weaknesses compared to the company's own position
    • Identify the threats, risks and opportunities present
    Business Strategy
    • The development of a right strategy is crucial for the eventual success of the business
    • The strategy should be based on your company's strengths and critical success factors in respect of competition and industry
    • Effective strategies should focus on the uniqueness or distinctiveness of your product or service
    • Your company's strategy should be dynamic
      (i.e. adapted to address a changing operating environment in the long run)

    Generic Strategies

    • Low cost producer
    • Differentiation; product offering is unique
    • Focus; serving a niche market, product line segment or geographic market

    Operational Requirements

    Personnel

    • List down type and number of staff required for key management posts, production, marketing and sales
    • Source and availability of labour; skilled, unskilled, technical
    • Training and incentives to retain these personnel

    Production/Manufacturing Processes

    • Extent of automation of production processes; technology required and technical agreements/support secured
    • Types/make of key machinery used
    • Production capacity/shift
    • Main raw materials/components

    Customer Service and After Sales Support

    Provide a brief outline on the company's programme for after sales service and support to build customer loyalty, increase repeat buys and the promotion of other products/services

    Business Cycle, Buyers, Suppliers & Terms of Trade

    • Key buyers, sales volume, frequency and collection term
    • Key suppliers, purchase volume, frequency and payment terms
    • Details of concessions/contracts with suppliers and buyers
    • Business cycle (e.g. list of the key milestones, period taken and terms)

    Sales and Marketing Strategies
    Provide a brief outline of the company's marketing strategies for getting customers to buy your products and services in respect of its marketing mix i.e. product, pricing, channels
    (sales) and promotions

    Financial Forecast

    • 3 forecasts are required:
      – Profit and Loss
      – Cash Flow
      – Balance Sheet
    • These are to be projected on a monthly basis for the next 12 months and on an annual basis for the next 2 years
    • Assumptions Used
      Provide the key assumptions used as follows:
      – % costs of key expenses, raw materials, labour, commissions
      – % of credit and cash sales
      – Credit period given and received
      – Inventory period
      – % growth per annum

    The format of profit and loss, cash flow and balance sheet projections are not included herein.


    Monday, April 7, 2008

    Expanding Businesses Part I

    Taking pages off the plans from a bakery, a beauty company, a shoe retailer and a restaurant.

    On Franchising / Licensing

    To franchise or licensing chains of shops requires lots of attention.

    The following areas are of major concerns:

    • documentation. There has to be submission of training manuals and operation manuals.


    • track records. People who have seen your visible success or known for its core businesses that are replicable.


    • reliable people. One has to prepare for the road-shows, marketing materials, and managers to convince the parties to take up the options to support the growing number of outlets.


    • 2nd/3rd party experts. Be prepared for legal advisors, planners and forecasters, market researchers, and public relations consultants.

    One of the greatest weaknesses will be the ableness to guarantee a certain amount of Return of Investments (ROI) in which most investors, franchisees and license are wary of. The other aspect of worrying state would be the maintenance and also the support services provided to the area management.

    Contemplating franchising or licensing, one should put in the mind that not all franchise can be successsful. Whilst it is indeed wonderful to see companies such as Old Town Cafe doing so well with its 80 outlets, one has to know its historical background and wealth derivation from which drives its expansion plans as well as being in the niche market. http://www.oldtown.com.my/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=35&Itemid=55


    Likewise, one should not put all eggs in one basket. It is better for a business owner to retain at least 20% number of outlets as his own whereas remaining 80% are franchise off. By having the 20% helping to provide margin of profits, those monies can be well-used to cover up certain eventful expenses that affects certain areas of businesses.


    In the case where one pursue 1 to 1 (or 50%) or more, it is certainly less risky albeit slower growth option.


    On Public Listing Exercise


    Many companies afforded experts to provide public listing exercise to float their companies in the local and foreign stock exchanges.


    Over the years, such exercises had proven to have taken a toll on the management group where they are ill-prepared for such as hiring of experts, stock brokerage houses, market to launch at and general economic weather.


    Currently the economic nature is such that Initial Public Offerings of newly listed companies are getting soft and this shall impact the pricing to go down instead of the opposite way.


    In this instance, were overall economic nature is foreboding, one should postponed the IPO until such a time where one is to get good pricing for its stocks.



    Friday, April 4, 2008

    Promoting Your Blog

    (From www.blogger.com)

    This is in no way a science or guarantee; it’s simply a few suggestions with which many bloggers have found success.

    Set your blog to Send Pings. When this setting is activated, your blog will be included in various "recently updated" lists on the web as well as other blog-related services.

    Activate Your Navbar. Do this and you might start to see the effects right away! One of the features on the Blogger Navbar is a button called NextBlog — click it to visit the next Navbar-enabled blog.

    Install Email This Post. If you use Email This Post on your blog, people will be able to forward your posts to friends. This may not have an immediate impact on your site stats but it enables others to publicize your blog for you.

    Turn on Post Pages. By publishing every post as its very own web page with Post Pages, you ensure that your entries are way more link-able and more attractive to search engines.
    Turn on your site feed. When people subscribe to your site feed in their newsreaders, they’re very likely going to read your post.

    Add your blog to Blogger's listings. When you add your blog to our listings it shows up in Nextblog, Recently Updated, and other places. It's like opting-in to traffic.

    Write quality content and do it well. If your "style" is bad writing, worse grammar, no punctuation, and an ugly design, that might be okay for a niche crowd. But the idea here is to achieve mass appeal, so fix yourself up a bit.

    Publish regular updates. Simple: the more you blog, the more traffic you’ll get.

    Think of your audience. A good way to build an audience is to speak to one in particular. When you keep your audience in mind, your writing gains focus. Focus goes a long way toward repeat visitors.

    Keep search engines in mind. There are a few things you can do to make your blog more search engine friendly. Use post titles and post page archiving. This will automatically give each of your post pages an intelligent name based on the title of your post. Also, try to be descriptive when you blog. A well crafted post about something very specific can end up very near the top results of a search.

    Keep your posts and paragraphs short. Strive for succinct posts that pump pertinent new information into the blogosphere and move on. Keep it short and sweet so visitors can pop in, read up, and click on.

    Put your blog URL in your email signature. Think of how many forwarded emails you’ve seen in your day, and just imagine the possibilities.

    Submit your address to blog search sites and directories. People look for blog content at Technorati every day, are you on their list? You should be. Submit your blog's url to Technorati, Daypop, Blogdex, Popdex, and any other site of that ilk you come across.

    Link to other blogs. Links are the currency of the blogosphere and it takes money to make
    money so start linking.

    Install a blogroll. It's a very simple yet effective social networking scheme and it has the same result as a simple link if not stronger: traffic! So if you don't have one yet, sign up for a blogroll and get that link-list going.

    Be an active commenter. This is in the same vein as linking. Most comment systems also provide a way for you to leave a link back to your blog which begs a visit at the very least. So if you feel inspired, leave a comment or two in your blog travels. It behooves you.

    Wednesday, April 2, 2008

    US Top 50 Performing Companies 2008 by BusinessWeek

    Gilead Chief Executive John Martin, a PhD chemist by training, challenged his researchers to simplify those cumbersome treatments. And they did. "The first four times we tried to manufacture the drug, we failed," says Martin. "It was a matter of perseverance."

    The payoff: Gilead's profits have tripled since 2004, to $1.6billion—a performance that vaulted the drugmaker to the No. 2 position in this year's BusinessWeek 50.

    And with the economy sitting on the precipice of what could potentially be a deep recession, it's this kind of management vision and moxie that could spell the difference between the companies that not only survive, but thrive and those that are carried away in the economic undertow. These are companies that, for all of their past successes, are not afraid to alter their business models at the first signs of weakness.

    Companies like this year's No. 1 performer, Coach. The handbag maker moved quickly when it understood that its aspirational customers might suddenly hesitate at spending $900 for one of its Legacy handbags. Coach quickly rolled out more affordable lines of bags for as little as $160.


    Or companies like Starbucks (SBUX) (No. 16), which, in the face of a renewed push by McDonald's (MCD) to boost coffee sales, announced a sweeping remake of its stores that includes free refills and Internet access for regular customers, and more handcrafted coffee drinks.


    While analysts fret those moves could cut profits in the near term, Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz is willing to absorb that hit to "reignite the emotional connection we have with our customers." Will it work? Starbucks isn't going to wait until things get worse before it tries to find a solution.

    The companies that make up the BusinessWeek 50 represent our picks as the top performers in each of the 10 sectors that make up the S&P 500.

    To select this year's overachievers, we ran the S&P 500 through a proprietary screen that ranks those companies within sectors by two key metrics: return on investment and sales growth over the past three years, and for financial-service firms, their returns on equity and growth in assets.

    "There's a market for suppliers that can take over a company's supply chain and run it better, cheaper, and faster, and these companies have shown how to do it," says Chris Zook, head of the global strategy practice at Bain & Co.

    "Warren Buffett himself said that it's harder for companies to sustain their growth," says Adrian Slywotzky, a management consultant for Oliver Wyman Group and co-author of the book The Upside: The 7 Strategies for Turning Big Threats into Growth Breakthroughs. "But managing risk well is one way to do it."


    For the full article, kindly go to http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_14/b4078051184585.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_dialogue+with+readers

    Monday, March 24, 2008

    Not Alone In Thoughts - World Class Companies

    For the past weeks before the General Election, we have made cold-calls to businesses in virtually every part of Penang and made visitations to all forms of businesses and meeting entrepreneurs. From bakery to hair salons, from restaurants to optical shops. From start-ups to companies in the process of listing.

    One of the things that we noted and we are in agreement with an article recently published in BizWeek, The Star dated 22 March 2008 under Companies & Strategies, that there is an absence of world-class companies within Malaysia. (Refer http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2008/03/absence-of-world-class-companies.html)

    Definitely the article raised relevant issues that are prevailing within an organisation or an institution. However, we write to provide certain widely-acceptable answers to the questions in the checklist of the article, based on our personal experiences, expectations and not supporting anyone including us, being advisors and consultants.

    For the questions, kindly refer to the said article provided in the website.

    a) All businesses whether in making, strictly new or still active, do have some form of product strategy. Nevertheless, the key word, "strong product strategy" needs to be considered.Most entrepreneurs deliberately learn about the 4Ps; product, price, place and promotions before setting up businesses.

    In fact, in our recent meeting with an arm of Boon Siew Group, we were "tried" by the managers on our knowledge of retail mix.Our deliberation on the strong product strategy would be, how does one measure the success of the product strategy and its strength. To a newcomer in business, just breaking-even within 6 months would have the same satisfying effect as to the making $120 million revenue of a company with strong financial support.

    b) To do business, is to profit. If its non-profiting, it is either charity-based or public service. Definitely top management wants to seek improve margins and ways to manage finance better.

    c) In most cases, business owners are consumed to know who, what and how are the competitors performing. In relation to this, business owners take efforts to find innovative ways to increase their market shares.

    d) Whilst business owners are often innovative and creative in finding new solutions, often the solutions bring about newer problems to be addressed such as resources and time factors to implement the ideas. In the world of retailing especially, quality and quantity in human resources and raising fresh capital often delays even the best plans in mind. Over time, the innovation or inqenuity had been superseded by better ideas or plans which may come from competitors.

    e) Companies that are established over years often adopts certain workable strategies that are often repeated. Where business growth is concerned, the same management may utilise the same key performance indicators that had largely made them successful.

    In our mind, whether the strategy on growth is organic or via acquisitioning (buying advance products, services or franchised systems), a learning organisation should not put thoughts in one basket but to create newer business units and divisions to handle different product or services business growth rate. Hence companies such as Procter & Gamble or L'Oreal often have several brand managers taking care of many different types of product ranges.

    As for other questions in the checklist itemised f to k, it is of note that is the basic model for a world-class companies albeit at a start-up level.

    For a company to be world-class, in our opinion, they would have to go beyond the checklist.

    Current active businesses hoping to turn world-class would have often amalgamate the checklist with their management responsibility and by participation, through their business experiences gained, through years of dealing with different types of staff and staff turnover, and through business associations or getting advisors and consultants in for the businesses; they have gained the understanding of what is required for the business to be world class.

    In this aspect of understanding the needs and wishes of our business owners, we will depart from the article in which it firstly hypothesised,

    "We also have far too many family-run enterprises. They have to learn to let go and let professionals to take over. Nepotism is rife in Aisa and only a very small percentage of family run companies do very well".

    From our perspective, even if professionals were to take over the businesses but doing it for the sake of pay and trying to get results by virtue of business orientation - meaning to say, sending a memo to all the staff, please smile when attending to customers as part of the Customer Relationship Program, that memo will be largely ignored and business will surely fail.

    Sam Walton of Wal-Mart made Wal-Mart today because he practiced what he preached. And how he practices it, is to do it himself. He then rub his life philosophy onto his children, their children, his staff and their children, creating a wholesome culture appreciated by the common people who buys from Wal-Mart.

    The only time family run companies will perform badly; will be when there are internal conflicts amongst the family members and the people in the companies taking sides.

    On the second hypothesis,

    "Their mentality also restricts how a good company can grow further. Professional managers know better. Do we have the political will to employ them? Or are the entrenched interests too strong to dismantle?"

    Their mentality is also our mentality. Their children and our children study in the same science/art stream, same college and in some cases, same universities. They are exposed to the same environment as we all are.

    Critically we wish to point out, in most cases, a professional manager will push for his/her ideas to be generally accepted because its the role that he/she has to play. Whether a professional manager knows better or not, it is depending on skill level to explain, sell the idea, negotiate even and gaining momentum for the ideas to be fully accepted. Ideas that are pounded into acceptance or used to dismantle another idea, would often be subjected to future criticism and put on microscope at a later stage of management study when cracks start to appear.

    We do strongly agree with the writer, Salvatore Dali, for the companies to be going somewhere, creating value and knowing what the critical success factors are - only then the companies will be world class. We believe that to achieve world-class is something that all of us should strive together to perform and support one another.

    To be the next New York Fifth Avenue, all the businesses whether inter-business or intra-business should co-operate to launch their sector actively to a target market nation such as US, Australia or EU to ensure heads are turned this way.

    To end this remarkable article published in BizWeek, we wish to summarise our contribution, We are Not Alone in Thoughts. Every business owner, every Malaysian, has the wants to be world-class, the good questions to ask, is how and when.

    Sunday, March 23, 2008

    Automobile Industry 22 Mar 2008 (The Star)

    Tan Chong Aims For Bigger Market Share

    The company aims for 1% increase every year, says exec director Datuk Dr Ang Bon Beng.

    Nissan Motor Co Ltd President and CEO Carlos Ghosn reaffirmed that strong products would be necessary for Nissan to achieve sustainable and profitable growth in Malaysia.

    He outlined that clear business goals, a well-timed and concrete product introduction strategy, and well-established service operations network would be key drivers behind the dynamic partnership between Nissan and Tan Chong Motor.


    Proton Can Survive if Managed Well

    Nissan Motor Co. Ltd. and Renault SA President and CEO Carlos Ghosn believes that car manufacturers can survive if they know their markets well and their business well.


    It is not true that only large car manufacturers can service because even
    they can collapse,
    he said.

    "Working in a company with a different culture is not easy. However, when people who come from different cultures and speak different languages come together with one purpose and one vision, they can be very powerful and eliminate the competition."


    Ferrari Names Naza Italia Sole Distributor for M'sia

    CEO S.M. Faisal S.M. Nasimuddin said,
    We see Ferrari as an iconic brand with good growth potential in the niche market
    of high-end automobiles and we see te need to maximise the ownership experience
    of Ferrari users.

    The group will invest substantial amount in customer relationship management, sales and after sales services, training, branding and marketing activities.

    Ferrari Asia-Pacific regional business manager Simon Inglefield said,

    Ferrari is selling dreams, not cars.


    The group would study the Malaysian market demand first and supply according to that.


    Tuesday, March 4, 2008

    Penang Retail Outlook 2010

    By 2010, we will see some 25.0 million square foot of retail space in Penang.

    This figure is just a rough estimate given project sizes of Paragon Hunza, Gurney Plaza New Wing, Penang Time Square, The Light, PGCC, Juru Autocity and malls that are planned and developed on continuous growing year by year basis.

    Given that the population growth of more or less the same every year, some 1.5 million people on the Island and additional 0.5 million people on the Seberang Prai area, the economics for retail may be in present, downward spiral. There is also an national inflation of 2%-20% to be added to current pricing.

    Contributory to the effect, worldwide recession has started with United States due to prime home loans affair and also inflation in China, that create future problems even though there may be an increase of tourists to the Island but the spendings may be limited by the same tourists.

    Every year as the new generations of youths aging 20-40 years old becoming more entrepreneurial, we shall see some 15,000 new brand or businesses emerging (assuming each business is to take up 1,000 sq.ft for retail).

    At present,

    Penang Retail Outlook 2008

    There are an estimated figure of over 10 million square foot of lettable retail space in Penang.
    (8.0 million sq. ft. based on NST report in 2004 excluding Queensbay Mall)
    1. Queensbay Mall (1.5 million sq. ft) 500 shops
    2. Sunshine Square (452,000 sq.ft)
    3. Bukit Jambul Shopping Complex (999,604 sq.ft) 414 shops
    4. Gama (no details offered by Evelyn, Business Dev. Mgr 06 March)
    5. Bayan Central Complex (440,640sq.ft?)
    6. Gurney Plaza (754,000 sq.ft)
    7. Island Plaza (320,000 sq.ft)
    8. Komtar Complex (148,534 sq.ft)
    9. One-Stop Midlands Park Centre
    10. Prangin Mall (900,000 sq.ft) 593 shops
    11. Suiwah (combined space) Sunshine Farlim, Sunshine Jelutong
    12. Sunshine Square
    13. Sunway Carnival (500,000 sq.ft)
    14. Pan Palaca Plaza (110,000 sq.ft)
    15. Penang Plaza
    16. New World Park
    17. Pacific Megamall
    18. Bukit Mertajam Plaza
    19. Kompleks Pekan Rabu Datuk Kailan
    20. retail squares at Sungai Dua, Penang.
    21. Prima Tanjung, Medan Fettes.
    22. Ivory Properties behind USM.
    Unaccounted for: 3.9 million

    Sources:

    http://www.nst.com.my/Weekly/PropertyTimes/News/Focus/20040724125056/Article/
    http://www.hbp.usm.my/RetailPG/bayan%20baru.htm
    http://www.penangresort.com/rhi/news2.php?subaction=showfull&id=1123133533&archive=&start_from=&ucat=1&
    http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2007/6/23/business/18100855&sec=business
    http://www.seri.com.my/oldsite/EconBrief/EconBrief2002-11.PDF
    http://announcements.bursamalaysia.com/EDMS/subweb.nsf/7f04516f8098680348256c6f0017a6bf/a5165d375a53769d48256f3c00309cd1/$FILE/Suiwah-AnnualReport2004.pdf
    http://www.tourismpenang.gov.my/page.cfm?name=se02c

    Tuesday, January 29, 2008

    Trapped By Development (Email)

    Today was a field day for me as I was in two meetings, walked an entire mall and several streets of Penang.

    The activities that I was in or witness to, they made me feel disheartened about the way of life in Penang and of things to come.

    In the months to come I will be seeking out new people who are particularly interested in what I am fond of, which is to see to good changes in Penang.

    What I mean as good changes is not purely on monetary value but also on providing societal transformation street by street.

    The Penang’s economies are not recession proof. Part of the reasons for bad economies comes from poor co-operative planning where people continue to work on developments individually.

    Belleview recently announced its plan to launch a new upmarket shopping mall in the heart of Georgetown, with some 600,000 sq. ft. of lettable area. This comes on top of the Paragon Mall (Hunza), the Gurney Plaza’s new wing (CapitaRetail), Penang Time Square (Ivory Prop.) and then there is D’Piazza Mall at Bayan Baru that claims 89 out of 90 units 3-storey shoplots have been snapped up but now open for leasing by Henry Butcher. Then, there is the unaccounted for Penang Global City Centre.

    So, if we are talking about some 15,000,000 sq ft of retail space, which is 3 times the size of the new 1 Utama plus IKEA and all else, can Penang and other states business owners have sufficient capital to rent or buy up shop-lots and then run a successful retail business?

    If yes, then working out on a 1,000 sq ft per unit per business, my advisory firm may get a chance to perhaps advise a percentage of the 15,000 business owners. Wow.

    In the best interest of Penang and its people, I am thinking of getting good people to sit, discuss and draw up plans which can be presented to the State Government and interested parties on developing industries in Penang. Although big businesses had come out to say that sentiment in consumer sector can help to sustain the industry, those that are interviewed are giants, such as Carrefour, F&N, Nestle, Poh Kong, BAT and Pelikan whose businesses do not rely on local market to succeed.

    Whether it’s a retail, a financial bank, a SME or a stock broking firm to try to survive tomorrow; advisory and research companies located far away from Penang, predicting good growth potential should go down to the streets on a Tuesday.

    The Government’s initiative to relax the EPF Account 2 to stimulate consumer spending on consumable (retail) and non-consumable good (property), which led our Bank Negara to imply that there are RM31 billion extra to spend, has all the tale of property development by the affordable. The 2 million people in the whole of Penang will not categoretically spend that bit and definitely not going to buy 5 shop-lots and make into a single business.

    What is presented here is a challenge. For us, the thinkers, to continue to make Penang attractive since we will be here for a while. (I was more impressed by the trishaws in the hutongs, China than dirty state of trishaws taking our tourists around Penang).

    Do let me know if we have common interests.

    Best regards,

    Erasmus

    Monday, January 14, 2008

    Who's Who in Your Company

    In Malaysia scene, most of the times, companys hide behind layers of corporate veils in terms of recognising Founding members of businesses and strong corporate profiles.

    Why is that?

    Malaysian retail business is still considerably small.

    As such, either the business owners are often pestered by sales people. Or, they do not wish their competitors to get whiff of where the business is heading.

    In international business scene, such as in US, their entrepreneurs are particularly proud of their business and often portray as the strong leader for the business front.

    However, again the ones that we know of are big in the business industry.

    Nevertheless, it doesnt really matter if your business is very big (how big is big?) or small, but how wonderful is your business to your customers and how satisfying is it to deal business with you as partners, suppliers and even consultants.

    Be the person in business and put your profile where the world can see.

    Wednesday, January 2, 2008

    Retail Industry Needs Bigger Pie

    Selection text from NST, Biz News, 2 Jan 2008, pg 38.

    2008 Outlook by Toh Peng Koon, President of Malaysia Retailers Association

    Q1. Challenges for local retail industry this year.

    Too many shopping complexes that have just been completed or under construction or being planned.

    Increased by 20% with the opening of 6 malls and expansion of one mall in Kuala Lumpur.

    The retail industry could not expand in tandem to support this sudden explosion of retail space.

    Explosion of retail space, shortage of staff is worsening. This would add pessure to salary and costs of operations to the retailers.

    Growth in the the retail industry would be capped by the higher cost of living which has been escalating.

    With oil prices touching the US$100 (RM 331) per barrel mark, the worsening rising cost of living expenses would post a major challenge to the industry.

    Q2. Ways to overcome these challenges?

    To enlarge the retial pie via tourism.

    To extend the Visit Malaysia Year 2007 to 2008 as 25% of total tourists receipts is from shopping. So far, VMY 2007 has been successful.

    For Malaysia to be as a preferred shopping destination in the region, it is mandatory that retailers should keep up with the latest development in store layout, design, materials, concept, fixtures, current hot brands of merchandise (that would require realignment of layout) as well as appropriate maintenance to keep the store fresh and presentable.

    Hope the Government through Inland Revenue Department would help to reduce costs of operations by allowing full cost of refurbishment to be tax-deductible.

    Q3. Trends that could shape the retail industry this year.

    Increase interest from the Malaysian and foreign institutional investors and property funds in commercial properties. Sell and lease-back activities were also common. This would help improve the overall complex management standard.

    Hypermarkets are on aggressive trail and department stores rae making significant tenancy commitment as anchor tenants in the major shopping complexes. This could add pressure to productivities.

    Q4. Prospects for the Retail Industry 2008

    Average rate for past 3 years had been 8% and 2006 retail sales growing 8.4% year-on-year.

    Positive factors that can sustain growth rate for 2007 include salary adjustment for civil servants, increased public spending and a bouyant stock market.

    Hypermarkets topped the value sales growth in 2006 due to authorities' relaxation in the ruling governing the opening of hypermarkets.

    Non-grocery sectors are also expected to perform better for 2007. So the year end prediction is expected to be 8%.

    For 2008, it is not so optimistic. Retail are expected to perform more or less in tandem with the country's Gross Domestic Product growth.